Fed 预测与赔率· 1951 个市场
F
98%
No change
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$15.4m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$141k 今日
61
9 个月后结束
$15.4m 交易量🔥$141k 今日$1.1m 流动性619 个月后结束
32%
0 (0 bps)
F
90%
No change
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
H
42%
2
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
J
53%
>5%
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$18.0m 交易量
$1.8m 流动性
🔥$1.1m 今日
74
7 个月后结束
$18.0m 交易量🔥$1.1m 今日$1.8m 流动性747 个月后结束
96%
Kevin Warsh
F
64%
December Meeting
J
1%
Yes
W
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
26%
3.5%
W
67%
↓ 3.25%
K
51%
May 15
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$66k 交易量
$33k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
$66k 交易量$33k 流动性1大约 1 个月后结束
2%
Yes
J
70%
December 31