Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 165 个市场

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k 交易量
$24k 流动性
3 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Cramer

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 4 小时后结束

53%

>5%

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

$24k 交易量
$15k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

$0 交易量
$5k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$290k 流动性
🔥$186k 今日
8
8 个月后结束

34%

3.75%

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.2m 交易量
$3.4m 流动性
🔥$2.2m 今日
22
29 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.8m 交易量
$247k 流动性
🔥$525k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$281k 今日
58
9 个月后结束

34%

0 (0 bps)

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
🔥$208k 今日
69
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m 交易量
$745k 流动性
🔥$159k 今日
13
3 个月后结束

89%

No change

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$191k 流动性
🔥$107k 今日
17
9 个月后结束

64%

↓ 3.25%

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$702k 交易量
$46k 流动性
🔥$52k 今日
27
8 个月后结束

21%

Yes

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$436k 交易量
$23k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

52%

May 15

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$178k 流动性
16
3 个月后结束

64%

December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m 交易量
$134k 流动性
37
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

May 14

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$231k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11 个月后结束

83%

Up

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$106k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause