Federal 预测与赔率· 2840 个市场

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

$34k 交易量
$22k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k 交易量
$31k 流动性
3 个月后结束

94%

Thom Tillis

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$335k 流动性
🔥$242k 今日
8
8 个月后结束

38%

3.75%

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$76k 交易量
$31k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

49%

Palantir

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$32k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.0m 交易量
$3.4m 流动性
🔥$2.1m 今日
21
29 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.7m 交易量
$285k 流动性
🔥$447k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$22.0m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$415k 今日
820
9 个月后结束

17%

December 31

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.9m 流动性
🔥$289k 今日
71
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$276k 今日
58
9 个月后结束

36%

0 (0 bps)

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

$1.4m 交易量
$377k 流动性
🔥$263k 今日
127
3 个月后结束

35%

Kevin Spacey

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m 交易量
$919k 流动性
🔥$231k 今日
12
3 个月后结束

88%

No change

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$271k 流动性
🔥$196k 今日
17
9 个月后结束

68%

↓ 3.25%

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m 交易量
$141k 流动性
🔥$182k 今日
124
大约 7 小时后结束

26%

April 30

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$699k 交易量
$43k 流动性
26
8 个月后结束

21%

Yes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.0m 交易量
$536k 流动性
1
7 个月后结束

86%

Democratic Party

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$435k 交易量
$34k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

53%

May 15

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.3m 交易量
$328k 流动性
7 个月后结束

52%

Democratic Party

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$4.4m 交易量
$221k 流动性
111
6 个月后结束

69%

United Russia (ER)