Gpt 4pt5 预测与赔率· 111 个市场

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k 交易量
$18k 流动性
5

93%

June 30

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$361k 交易量
$35k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$973 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$598 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

9%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$14k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$26k 交易量
$7k 流动性
17 天后结束

63%

April 17

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$65k 交易量
$17k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$675k 交易量
$16k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$289k 交易量
$12k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

20%

June 30, 2026

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$900k 交易量
$24k 流动性
1
15 天后结束

76%

April 30

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k 交易量
$15k 流动性
2
已结束

48%

April 30

2
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

$55k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
已结束

0%

Yes

W
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
796
4 个月后结束

91%

Drake releases Iceman

W
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

artificial intelligence · technology

Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

$22k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

W
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

machine learning · technology

Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

$144k 交易量
$0 流动性
19
已结束
G
GPT-5 released in 2024?

OpenAI · AI

GPT-5 released in 2024?

$754k 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束

No

G
GPT ads by...?

ai technology · Business

GPT ads by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$0 流动性
206
已结束

March 31

G
GPT transaction fees by December 31?

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

$26k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

G
GPT-5.4 released by...?

GPT-5.4 released by...?

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
146

March 16