Gpt 4pt5 Predictions & Odds· 117 markets
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$119k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$119k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$43k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$43k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
8%
Yes
82%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$946 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$946 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$427k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$427k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
What will happen before GTA VI?
$19.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
794
Ends in 4 months
$19.8m Vol.$1.5m Liq.794Ends in 4 months
91%
Drake releases Iceman
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$180k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$180k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic
Soccer · Sports
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
$1.1m Vol.
$144k Liq.
19
Ends in about 2 months
$1.1m Vol.$144k Liq.19Ends in about 2 months
100%
Arsenal
49%
June 30
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$21k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$5k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Skele
21%
June 30, 2026