Gpt 4pt5 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$333k 交易量
$104k 流动性
53
3 个月后结束

50%

Anthropic

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$8k 流动性
17 天后结束

63%

April 17

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

6%

Yes

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$24k 交易量
$22k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

43%

None in 2026

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$359k 交易量
$34k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k 交易量
$17k 流动性
4

94%

June 30

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$962 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$975 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

57%

60%+

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$2.9m 交易量
$357k 流动性
64
3 个月后结束

64%

Anthropic

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
795
4 个月后结束

91%

Drake releases Iceman

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
32
已结束

37%

December 31, 2026

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$482k 交易量
$167k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

43%

Anthropic

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.2m 交易量
$144k 流动性
19
大约 2 个月后结束

100%

Arsenal

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$668k 交易量
$16k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Skele

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k 交易量
$12k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

21%

June 30, 2026