Gpt 4pt5 预测与赔率· 112 个市场

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$21k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k 交易量
$22k 流动性
40
已结束

83%

December 31, 2026

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

44%

60%+

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$5k 流动性
8 天后结束

6%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$854 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

49%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$29k 交易量
$6k 流动性
15 天后结束

66%

April 17

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

59%

June 30

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

45%

1

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k 交易量
$5k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$943k 交易量
$29k 流动性
13 天后结束

87%

May 15

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
已结束

15%

Yes

W
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
795
4 个月后结束

82%

Drake releases Iceman

W
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

artificial intelligence · technology

Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

$22k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

W
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

machine learning · technology

Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

$144k 交易量
$0 流动性
19
已结束
G
GPT-5 released in 2024?

OpenAI · AI

GPT-5 released in 2024?

$754k 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束

No

G
GPT ads by...?

ai technology · Business

GPT ads by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$0 流动性
206
已结束

March 31

G
GPT transaction fees by December 31?

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

$26k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

G
GPT-5.4 released by...?

GPT-5.4 released by...?

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
146

March 16

W
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

All

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

$121k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

G
GPT-5.3 released by...?

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$797k 交易量
$0 流动性
175
已结束

March 31