Gpt 5 预测与赔率· 109 个市场

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$43k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$2.9m 交易量
$430k 流动性
64
3 个月后结束

65%

Anthropic

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
32
已结束

44%

December 31, 2026

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$475k 交易量
$180k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

49%

Anthropic

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$24k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$952 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k 交易量
$19k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

21%

June 30, 2026

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$5k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 6 小时后结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

21%

Yes

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

41%

Yes

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$81k 流动性
162
大约 1 个月后结束

71%

June 30, 2026

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

$0 交易量
$236 流动性
4 天后结束

72%

Nemiga

GA-05 House Election Winner

GA-05 House Election Winner

$13k 交易量
$29k 流动性
7 个月后结束

94%

Democratic Party

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
794
4 个月后结束

91%

Drake releases Iceman

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$21k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

$8k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

79%

Leo Team

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

44%

1