Humanitarian Pause 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$64.1m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$3.3m 今日
1,263

72%

December 31

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$56k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$388k 交易量
$41k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

39%

June 30

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$64k 交易量
$13k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

42%

Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$33k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

48%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k 交易量
$12k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

35%

Leadership Change

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$46k 交易量
$20k 流动性
4

14%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m 交易量
$389k 流动性
🔥$557k 今日
20,364
大约 5 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$476k 流动性
🔥$76k 今日
5,427
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$225k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$3.7m 交易量
$326k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

$67k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$185k 交易量
$19k 流动性
9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

$126k 交易量
$10k 流动性
26
大约 5 小时后结束

1%

Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

$385k 交易量
$39k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

$55k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

32%

December 31, 2026

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$140k 交易量
$46k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k 交易量
$861 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

71%

December 31, 2026

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Middle East · Iran Regime

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

$102k 交易量
$14k 流动性
27
大约 1 个月后结束

20%

April 30

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

$4.0m 交易量
$9k 流动性
985
3 个月后结束

27%

June 30