Meissner Effect 预测与赔率· 553 个市场

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

$62k 交易量
$11k 流动性
5
大约 9 小时后结束

98%

Yes

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

$30k 交易量
$10k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

$39k 交易量
$13k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

5%

Yes

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$63.1m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
🔥$2.8m 今日
1,260

73%

December 31

Trump out as President by March 31?

Trump out as President by March 31?

$13.4m 交易量
$3.4m 流动性
🔥$561k 今日
大约 9 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m 交易量
$211k 流动性
🔥$222k 今日
9 个月后结束

57%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

$5.4m 交易量
$315k 流动性
🔥$151k 今日
9 个月后结束

17%

Yes

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.3m 交易量
$214k 流动性
🔥$131k 今日
887
9 个月后结束

51%

December 31

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

$200k 交易量
$190k 流动性
🔥$84k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

Yes

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

$1.7m 交易量
$591k 流动性
🔥$78k 今日
3 个月后结束

7%

Yes

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

$10.2m 交易量
$117k 流动性
🔥$61k 今日
358
已结束

61%

December 31

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

$1.5m 交易量
$51k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

0%

Yes

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

$2.2m 交易量
$50k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

1%

Yes

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$2.0m 交易量
$42k 流动性
89
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

$1.2m 交易量
$41k 流动性
28
大约 9 小时后结束

99%

5–15%

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

$126k 交易量
$26k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

$3.2m 交易量
$219k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

$299k 交易量
$38k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

18%

Yes

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$534k 交易量
$43k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

42%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

$91k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

0%

Yes