Nasa 预测与赔率· 226 个市场

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$140k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

37%

Yes

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$191k 交易量
$22k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$156k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

46%

2

M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$225k 交易量
$16k 流动性
7 天后结束

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$279k 交易量
$21k 流动性
7 天后结束

99%

4th or lower

2
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science · Weather

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$3k 交易量
$5k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

43%

3rd hottest

W
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$112k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

73%

Yes

1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

A
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather · Science

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$19k 交易量
$4k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

28%

1.20–1.24ºC

1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k 交易量
$3k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

7%

Yes

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$14k 流动性
108
3 个月后结束

51%

Yes

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k 交易量
$6k 流动性
27

37%

Yes

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$23.1m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$138k 今日
829
9 个月后结束

17%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$43k 交易量
$12k 流动性
13
27 天后结束

18%

April 30

W
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)

Weather · Science

Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)

$668k 交易量
$0 流动性
22
已结束

Yes

W
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?

Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?

$85k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束

No

W
Will 2024 have the hottest April on record?

climate & weather · climate

Will 2024 have the hottest April on record?

$66k 交易量
$0 流动性
7
已结束

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

$125k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

S
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?

SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?

$63k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes