Negotiations 预测与赔率· 159 个市场

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$63.2m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
🔥$2.8m 今日
1,264

72%

December 31

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$55k 交易量
$9k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$388k 交易量
$38k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

38%

June 30

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$9.1m 交易量
$156k 流动性
264
9 个月后结束

16%

Yes

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$63k 交易量
$14k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

$34k 交易量
$14k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$34k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

50%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

$50k 交易量
$54k 流动性
9 个月后结束

67%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$46k 交易量
$21k 流动性
4

12%

Yes

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$16k 流动性
大约 8 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k 交易量
$12k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

34%

Leadership Change

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

$2k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

$2k 交易量
$7k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$227k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

3%

Yes

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$8k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

$7k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束

13%

Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3 个月后结束

16%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$467k 流动性
🔥$78k 今日
5,424
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?

Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?

$96k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

No

Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

$184k 交易量
$0 流动性
43
已结束

No