Negotiations 预测与赔率· 117 个市场

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$65.0m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$3.4m 今日
1,277

73%

December 31

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$9.1m 交易量
$177k 流动性
265
9 个月后结束

17%

Yes

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$65k 交易量
$11k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$58k 交易量
$11k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$20k 流动性
1
已结束

0%

Yes

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

$34k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$388k 交易量
$44k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

39%

June 30

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$38k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

44%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$29k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

38%

Leadership Change

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

$50k 交易量
$75k 流动性
9 个月后结束

64%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$46k 交易量
$20k 流动性
4

13%

Yes

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

$2k 交易量
$7k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

$2k 交易量
$7k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$12k 流动性
38
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$229k 流动性
1
30 天后结束

3%

Yes

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

$7k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$490k 流动性
🔥$74k 今日
5,427
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k 交易量
$20k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

16%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$3.9m 交易量
$500k 流动性
🔥$242k 今日
1
3 个月后结束

12%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m 交易量
$389k 流动性
🔥$557k 今日
20,364
已结束

0%

Yes