Negotiations 预测与赔率· 160 个市场

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$80.9m 交易量
$2.6m 流动性
🔥$8.4m 今日
1,404

73%

December 31

W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$9.2m 交易量
$158k 流动性
263
9 个月后结束

16%

Yes

I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$430k 交易量
$38k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

41%

June 30

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$96k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

33%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$58k 交易量
$29k 流动性
4

11%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$102k 交易量
$43k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$75k 交易量
$22k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

52%

Yes

T
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

$52k 交易量
$52k 流动性
9 个月后结束

47%

Yes

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$30k 交易量
$11k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

22%

Leadership Change

T
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

$537 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束

8%

Yes

W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

$35k 交易量
$16k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

W
Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

$2k 交易量
$8k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

W
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

$2k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$388k 流动性
🔥$488k 今日
28 天后结束

2%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$12k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

$7k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3 个月后结束

12%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

$14k 交易量
$201k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

5%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

$2k 交易量
$124k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

51%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$490k 流动性
🔥$74k 今日
5,428
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$132k 交易量
$19k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes