Nuclear Deal 预测与赔率· 109 个市场

W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$491k 交易量
$212k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

42%

No Meeting by June 30

U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

$964k 交易量
$43k 流动性
54
3 个月后结束

25%

Yes

U
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

$472k 交易量
$57k 流动性
65
9 个月后结束

39%

Yes

U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

$235k 交易量
$129k 流动性
🔥$56k 今日
27 天后结束

5%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$18k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$74k 交易量
$93k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

30%

December 31

I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

$199k 交易量
$100k 流动性
27 天后结束

6%

Yes

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

$164k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3 个月后结束

16%

Yes

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$1k 交易量
$19k 流动性
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$5k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

$22k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$43k 交易量
$12k 流动性
13
27 天后结束

18%

April 30

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k 交易量
$56k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$132k 交易量
$32k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

$533k 交易量
$54k 流动性
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

$138k 交易量
$41k 流动性
🔥$117k 今日
3
大约 2 个月后结束

16%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$58k 交易量
$28k 流动性
4

11%

Yes

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k 交易量
$24k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

8%

Yes

R
Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

$1.3m 交易量
$10k 流动性
7
已结束

12%

December 31, 2026

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$443k 交易量
$35k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

41%

Yes