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Openai Vs Elon 预测与赔率· 111 个市场

全部PoliticsCryptoSpaceXScienceBusinessFinanceElon MuskSam AltmanToken LaunchAIGptOpenAICultureIPOsLlmArtificial IntelligenceTweet MarketsSpaceTechOutageCourtsSamAltmanChatgptXAIBig TechGPT 5IPOClimate & ScienceMusk V. AltmanMusk V AltmanClaude 5
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Politics·OpenAI

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$91k 交易量
$12k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

34%

Yes

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Tech·Science

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
超过 1 年后结束

78%

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Tech·Business

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$262k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Tech·Business

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Finance·OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Tech·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$242k 交易量
$8k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Tech·llm

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$7k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

$24k 交易量
$46k 流动性
5 天后结束

34%

65-89

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$12.5m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$785k 今日
3
4 天后结束

20%

220-239

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

Tech·outage

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

6%

Yes

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量
$23k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束

67%

$800B

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

Tech·gpt

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$3.5m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$1.2m 今日
1
8 天后结束

13%

280-299

Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?

$3.6m 交易量
$741k 流动性
🔥$1.6m 今日
2
已结束

0%

90-114