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Openai Vs Elon 预测与赔率· 114 个市场

全部PoliticsCryptoSpaceXScienceBusinessFinanceElon MuskSam AltmanToken LaunchAIGptOpenAICultureIPOsLlmArtificial IntelligenceTweet MarketsSpaceTechOutageCourtsSamAltmanChatgptXAIBig TechGPT 5IPOClimate & ScienceMusk V. AltmanMusk V AltmanClaude 5
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Politics·OpenAI

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$91k 交易量
$12k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

34%

Yes

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Tech·Science

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
将近 2 年后结束

78%

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Tech·Business

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$262k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Tech·Business

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Finance·OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$951 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Tech·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$242k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Tech·llm

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

$8k 交易量
$36k 流动性
5 天后结束

35%

65-89

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

Tech·outage

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量
$21k 流动性
2
将近 2 年后结束

67%

$800B

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

Tech·gpt

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

2%

Yes

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

$37k 交易量
$125k 流动性
2 个月后结束

13%

1320-1359

OpenAI IPO by...?

Tech·IPOs

OpenAI IPO by...?

$1.1m 交易量
$21k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

40%

December 31, 2026

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

Culture·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

$4.4m 交易量
$736k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

9%

1400-1439