Openai 预测与赔率· 473 个市场

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

6%

Yes

O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$243k 交易量
$9k 流动性
11
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

77%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

41%

60%+

W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$114k 交易量
$6k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

38%

Necklace

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k 交易量
$2k 流动性
31
已结束

31%

Yes

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$5k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

57%

Anthropic

S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
超过 1 年后结束

74%

SpaceX

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$800 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

49%

Yes

W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$2k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

W
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

$11k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.6m 交易量
$110k 流动性
9 个月后结束

62%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量
$19k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束

75%

$800B

L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$282k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m 交易量
$376k 流动性
65
3 个月后结束

65%

Anthropic

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$22k 流动性
4

93%

June 30