Polling 预测与赔率· 130 个市场

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$892k 交易量
$17k 流动性
15 天后结束

52%

April 15

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$70k 流动性
162
大约 1 个月后结束

75%

June 30, 2026

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

$40k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

76%

April 30

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$807k 交易量
$74k 流动性
49
3 个月后结束

43%

June 30

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

50%

June 30

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k 交易量
$12k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

21%

June 30, 2026

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4

92%

June 30

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$34k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k 交易量
$15k 流动性
1
大约 9 小时后结束

2%

Yes

𝕏 Money launched by...?

𝕏 Money launched by...?

$7k 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

55%

April 30

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

43%

June 30

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k 交易量
$15k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

17%

Yes

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$11k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

6%

Yes

UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

$739k 交易量
$2k 流动性
13
已结束

4%

Yes

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

$120k 交易量
$20k 流动性
88
已结束

77%

70–75%

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

$43k 交易量
$24k 流动性
57
已结束

54%

59-60%

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

$84k 交易量
$60k 流动性
1
12 天后结束

45%

71–74%

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

$1k 交易量
$39k 流动性
7 个月后结束

19%

115-120m