Polling Predictions & Odds· 130 markets
54%
April 15
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$69k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$69k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
66%
June 30, 2026
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$807k Vol.
$78k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$807k Vol.$78k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
46%
June 30
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?
$36k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$36k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
76%
April 30
50%
June 30
21%
June 30, 2026
Claude Mythos released by…?
$40k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$40k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
69%
June 30
82%
December 31, 2026
52%
April 30
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
VEO 4 released by...?
$40k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$40k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
2%
Yes
Meta "Mango" model released by...?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
44%
June 30
6%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$120k Vol.
$18k Liq.
86
Ended
$120k Vol.$18k Liq.86Ended
84%
70–75%
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$43k Vol.
$24k Liq.
57
Ended
$43k Vol.$24k Liq.57Ended
54%
59-60%
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days
$84k Vol.$60k Liq.1Ends in 13 days
46%
71–74%
19%
115-120m