Roll 预测与赔率· 292 个市场

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m 交易量
$56k 流动性
🔥$189k 今日
大约 5 小时后结束

97%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m 交易量
$66k 流动性
🔥$93k 今日
102
大约 1 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$330k 交易量
$48k 流动性
🔥$81k 今日
3 天后结束

86%

0-10

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

$447k 交易量
$47k 流动性
已结束

55%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$609k 交易量
$44k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

4%

20+

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$81k 交易量
$55k 流动性
1
大约 5 小时后结束

9%

Jacky Rosen

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k 交易量
$49k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

37%

0-10

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k 交易量
$22k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

53%

20+

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
4 天后结束

98%

March 30

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

$24k 交易量
$14k 流动性
已结束

40%

25-29

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$894k 交易量
$23k 流动性
15 天后结束

54%

April 15

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$70k 流动性
163
大约 1 个月后结束

78%

June 30, 2026

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

$40k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

76%

April 30

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$809k 交易量
$75k 流动性
50
3 个月后结束

43%

June 30

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k 交易量
$15k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

21%

June 30, 2026

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$18k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$36k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k 交易量
$15k 流动性
1
大约 5 小时后结束

2%

Yes