Sam Altman 预测与赔率· 221 个市场

67%
$800B

68%
Anthropic

44%
December 31, 2026

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$102k 交易量
$7k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
$102k 交易量$7k 流动性129 个月后结束
41%
Head-mounted display

96%
SpaceX

78%
SpaceX

23%
Yes

34%
Yes

37%
Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
$100k 交易量$5k 流动性13 个月后结束
28%
Yes

40%
Dan Clancy - Twitch

5%
Reza Pahlavi

22%
Yes

49%
Lukas Neumayer




