Science 预测与赔率· 173 个市场

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$21.9m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$413k 今日
818
9 个月后结束

17%

December 31

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$64k 交易量
$24k 流动性
2 个月后结束

100%

May 31

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$35k 交易量
$18k 流动性
6 天后结束

43%

1

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$33k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Measles · Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

$29k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

89%

1800

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$697k 交易量
$26k 流动性
94
大约 14 小时后结束

83%

April 30

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$385k 交易量
$22k 流动性
大约 14 小时后结束

1%

1600

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$31k 流动性
9 个月后结束

28%

11–13

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$21k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

43%

1

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$195k 交易量
$30k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$321k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 14 小时后结束

94%

5-6"

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$172k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 14 小时后结束

90%

3-4"

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$348k 交易量
$23k 流动性
9 个月后结束

36%

5-6

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$649k 交易量
$93k 流动性
8
将近 2 年后结束

46%

2.0T+

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$208k 交易量
$17k 流动性
11 天后结束

42%

1.25–1.29ºC

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.7m 交易量
$68k 流动性
21
3 个月后结束

63%

8+

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$257k 流动性
11
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$168k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$121k 流动性
19
9 个月后结束

46%

2

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$363k 交易量
$9k 流动性
4 个月后结束

81%

Hong Wang