Silicon Data 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

$310k 交易量
$36k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

60%

↑ $2.75

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

26%

Yes

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$23k 流动性
79
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束

14%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Middle East · Iran Regime

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

$101k 交易量
$15k 流动性
27
大约 1 个月后结束

18%

April 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$11k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k 交易量
$4k 流动性
27

39%

Yes

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$889 交易量
$688 流动性
1 天后结束

47%

↓ 42600

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$19k 流动性
8
大约 1 年后结束

12%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
31
已结束

44%

December 31, 2026

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in February?

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in February?

$337k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

↑ $2.35

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

$23k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Dario / Amodei

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

$16k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束

No

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

$30k 交易量
$0 流动性
23
已结束

Yes

Monad FDV one day after launch?

Monad FDV one day after launch?

$53.8m 交易量
$0 流动性
1,263
3 个月后结束

>$2B

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

$250k 交易量
$0 流动性
18
已结束

<55

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

$17k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

Million Dollar Game · Poker warning

Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

$1k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

No