Tech Policy 预测与赔率· 110 个市场

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$44k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

18%

Yes

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 13 小时后结束

3%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
11 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

18%

Yes

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 交易量
$148 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Up

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 13 小时后结束

10%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$9k 交易量
$6k 流动性
11 个月后结束

78%

Up

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Rice Owls (W)

Games · NCAA

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Rice Owls (W)

$0 交易量
$2k 流动性
已结束

10%

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$4k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

35%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$51k 交易量
$22k 流动性
4 天后结束

43%

160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$149k 交易量
$10k 流动性
1 天后结束

65%

160-179

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k 交易量
$13k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束

41%

April 30

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k 交易量
$4k 流动性
27

37%

Yes

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

$15k 交易量
$6k 流动性
4
1 天后结束

2%

Yes

Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (W)

Games · NCAA

Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (W)

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$25k 流动性
79
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026