AI Development Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

artificial general intelligence · technology

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

$907k Vol.
$0 Liq.
54
Ended

No

What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?

What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?

$31.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
968
Ended

Future

What will Trump say during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?

What will Trump say during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

Friendship

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

$195k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended

No

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

$337k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

No

Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?

Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

$129k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

Yes

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

$269k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

≥85% by November 3

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

OpenAI Sora public release in June?

OpenAI Sora public release in June?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

technology · web search

Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Apple + OpenAI deal announced by Friday?

Apple + OpenAI deal announced by Friday?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Is Drake’s verse in "Wah Gwan Delilah" AI?

Is Drake’s verse in "Wah Gwan Delilah" AI?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?

Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?

$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

No

ChatGPT o3 released today?

ChatGPT o3 released today?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes