AI Development 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

44%

June 30

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

42%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
31
已结束

45%

December 31, 2026

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$25k 流动性
79
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?

USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$2.4m 交易量
$172k 流动性
51
9 个月后结束

75%

$100M

Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

$635k 交易量
$6k 流动性
34
已结束

6%

Yes

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$30k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$4k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

35%

Yes

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$166k 流动性
20
大约 13 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$800k 交易量
$154k 流动性
🔥$158k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束

83%

Anthropic

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

$2.7m 交易量
$452k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

90%

Anthropic

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$11k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

45%

Head-mounted display

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$12k 交易量
$63k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Anthropic

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
11 天后结束

8%

Yes