AI Development 预测与赔率· 109 个市场

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$4k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

40%

June 30

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

46%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
32
已结束

37%

December 31, 2026

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$23k 流动性
81
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$803k 交易量
$100k 流动性
1
30 天后结束

85%

Anthropic

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$2k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

35%

Yes

Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

$640k 交易量
$8k 流动性
35
已结束

2%

Yes

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.2m 交易量
$173k 流动性
21
已结束

100%

OpenAI

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

29%

Yes

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$13k 交易量
$50k 流动性
30 天后结束

82%

Anthropic

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量
$51k 流动性
25
3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$7k 交易量
$27k 流动性
30 天后结束

40%

Google

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

7%

Yes

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$1.0m 交易量
$120k 流动性
2
已结束

99%

Anthropic

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$16.1m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$286k 今日
1
已结束

100%

Anthropic