Altman Predictions & Odds· 240 markets

Will OpenAI buy X before July?

Will OpenAI buy X before July?

$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

$176k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?

OpenAI · AI

OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
40
Ended

Yes

Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

AI · OpenAI

Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

sam altman · Grok

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

sam altman · OpenAI

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

social media · Twitter

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

sam altman · Business

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

sam altman · abuse

Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

sam altman · legal issues

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

sam altman · OpenAI

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

$25k Vol.
$2 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

sam altman · data leak

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?

Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

All

Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

$480k Vol.
$0 Liq.
166
Ended

Polymarket / Bet

What will Sam Altman say during TBPN on October 10?

What will Sam Altman say during TBPN on October 10?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

GPT 7+ times

Sam Altman arrested before July?

Sam Altman arrested before July?

$124k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?

$332k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?

OpenAI · Science

Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No