Arrest Predictions & Odds· 431 markets

E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

19%

Yes

W
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 27 days

11%

Yes

W
Who will Sabrina Carpenter arrest at Coachella?

Who will Sabrina Carpenter arrest at Coachella?

$13 Vol.
$830 Liq.
Ends in 27 days

38%

Zara Larsson

A
Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$142k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

$44k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

57%

Yes

L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$37k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

J
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

$61k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

C
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

$358 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

12%

Yes

M
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$10k Liq.
29
Ended

6%

Yes

W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$46k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

N
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

$2.6m Vol.
$18k Liq.
56
Ended

14%

Yes

D
Don Lemon charges dropped?

Don Lemon charges dropped?

$13k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

13%

Yes

S
SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$309k Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Y
Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

E
Either Tate brother arrested by...?

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

23%

June 30

W
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

55%

Juan Pablo Ledezma

D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1

11%

Yes

L
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

O
Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

I
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

$344k Vol.
$48k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes