Autonomous Vehicles Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
$32k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$32k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$431k Liq.
🔥$164k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$164k today$431k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
62%
>$600M
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
W
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
W
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 29 days
83%
↓ $360
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$120k today$20k Liq.173
17%
Yes
U
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$2.5m Vol.
$199k Liq.
🔥$60k today
54
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$60k today$199k Liq.54Ends in 9 months
92%
$100M
W
taxis · san francisco
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?
$510 Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$510 Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
No
F
<$1b / No token in 2024
M
Monad FDV one day after launch?
$53.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,263
Ends in 3 months
$53.8m Vol.$0 Liq.1,263Ends in 3 months
>$2B
L
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$106.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,157
Ended
$106.7m Vol.$0 Liq.2,157Ended
>$2B
#
75-84
#
<60
M
June 30
E
Elon Musk · Tesla
Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved?
$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
$52k Vol.$0 Liq.10Ended
Yes