Autonomous Vehicles Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
$30k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
46%
Yes
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$448k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$448k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
38%
April 30
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
99%
↓ $390
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in March 2026?
$276k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$276k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 1 day
2%
↓ $330
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$2.4m Vol.
$203k Liq.
53
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$203k Liq.53Ends in 9 months
81%
$100M
taxis · san francisco
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY?
$510 Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$510 Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
No
<$1b / No token in 2024
Monad FDV one day after launch?
$53.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,263
Ends in 3 months
$53.8m Vol.$0 Liq.1,263Ends in 3 months
>$2B
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$106.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,157
Ended
$106.7m Vol.$0 Liq.2,157Ended
>$2B
75-84
June 30