Banking Industry Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$89k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m Vol.
$12k Liq.
102
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

B
Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

89%

No Change

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 Vol.
$223 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

51%

No Change

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$12k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

U
US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

19%

Yes

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

$14k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

52%

Silver

B
Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 Vol.
$238 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

51%

No change

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$535k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$131k today
160

13%

Yes

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k Vol.
$6k Liq.
27

36%

Yes

B
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

65%

Yes

E
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

72%

25 bps Increase

B
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

77%

Decrease

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

E
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$274k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

72%

No change

W
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

$27k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

87%

↓ $168

W
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of March 30 2026?

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of March 30 2026?

$4k Vol.
$700 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

50%

↓ $122