Banking Industry Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$92k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
22%
December 31, 2026
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
$11k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$11k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
68%
No Change
Another US bank failure by March 31?
$104k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$104k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
45%
Yes
US bank failure by April 30?
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
Yes
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
1%
↓ 20100
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$99k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$99k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
99%
Gold
48%
Increase
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$9k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
56%
S&P 500
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
1%
↑ 700
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of March 30 2026?
$3k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 4 days
100%
↑ $126
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
75%
Yes
1%
↓ 7500
77%
25 bps Increase
78%
Decrease