Banking Industry Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$96k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$96k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup
22%
December 31, 2026
Another US bank failure by March 31?
$103k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$103k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
45%
Yes
US bank failure by April 30?
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
24%
Yes
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
50%
No change
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Poker warning · Sports
Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game
$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$1k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yes
JennerETH