Fdic Predictions & Odds· 150 markets

Another US bank failure by March 31?

Another US bank failure by March 31?

$104k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

26%

Yes

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

XRP Up or Down - January 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up

US bank failure before December?

US bank failure before December?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

No

Who will Biden nominate to be next FDIC Chairman?

Who will Biden nominate to be next FDIC Chairman?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Other

Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

All

Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will another US bank fail in March?

All

Will another US bank fail in March?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

All

Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY?

All

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will SVB be acquired by Monday night?

All

Will SVB be acquired by Monday night?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30?

All

Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure in February?

US bank failure in February?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will SVB fail?

All

Will SVB fail?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?

All

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Another US bank failure by February 28?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure by February 28?

US bank failure by February 28?

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US bank failure by January 31?

US bank failure by January 31?

$693k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No