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Fdic Predictions & Odds· 144 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessFinanceEconomy1BidenEconomicsUS PoliticsBanking IndustryUS BankBusiness NewsBankingUS NewsBank FailurePOTUSEconomyFDIC
US bank failure before December?

Finance·Business

US bank failure before December?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

No

Who will Biden nominate to be next FDIC Chairman?

Politics·Biden

Who will Biden nominate to be next FDIC Chairman?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Other

Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

All

Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will another US bank fail in March?

All

Will another US bank fail in March?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

All

Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY?

All

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will SVB be acquired by Monday night?

All

Will SVB be acquired by Monday night?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30?

All

Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure in February?

Finance·us bank

US bank failure in February?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will SVB fail?

All

Will SVB fail?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?

All

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by February 28?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure by February 28?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by February 28?

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US bank failure by January 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by January 31?

$693k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure by...?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by...?

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended

September 30

US bank failure before March?

Finance·Business

US bank failure before March?

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

Yes

US bank failure in March?

All

US bank failure in March?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure in April?

economics · Business News

US bank failure in April?

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US bank failure before July?

Finance·Business

US bank failure before July?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes