Fdic Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
2%
Yes
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
82%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in July?
$3.0m Vol.
$240k Liq.
🔥$766k today
1
Ends in 4 months
$3.0m Vol.🔥$766k today$240k Liq.1Ends in 4 months
77%
No change
Fed decision in April?
$39.7m Vol.
$3.8m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
26
Ends in 29 days
$39.7m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$3.8m Liq.26Ends in 29 days
98%
No change
Fed Decision in June?
$4.8m Vol.
$870k Liq.
🔥$250k today
14
Ends in 3 months
$4.8m Vol.🔥$250k today$870k Liq.14Ends in 3 months
89%
No change
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$102k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$102k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup
64%
December Meeting
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$10k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 29 days
45%
2
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$249k today
71
Ends in 7 months
$15.8m Vol.🔥$249k today$1.6m Liq.71Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$450k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$450k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?
$4k Vol.
$975 Liq.
5
Ended
$4k Vol.$975 Liq.5Ended
2%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
1%
↑ 700