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Bank Failure Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessFinanceEconomy1EconomicsBanking IndustryUS BankBusiness NewsBankingUS NewsBank FailureGeopoliticsBanksEconomyFDICParlaysWorld
Another US bank failure by March 31?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by March 31?

$104k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

2%

Yes

US bank failure by April 30?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by April 30?

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

25%

Yes

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$357k Vol.
$93k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months

3%

Scotiabank

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$441k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

US bank failure in April?

economics · Business News

US bank failure in April?

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US bank failure by June 30?

Banking · Bank Failure

US bank failure by June 30?

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

US bank failure in February?

Finance·us bank

US bank failure in February?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by February 28?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure by February 28?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by February 28?

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US bank failure by January 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by January 31?

$693k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US bank failure by...?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by...?

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended

September 30

US bank failure before March?

Finance·Business

US bank failure before March?

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

Yes

US bank failure in March?

All

US bank failure in March?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US bank failure before July?

Finance·Business

US bank failure before July?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

US bank failure before December?

Finance·Business

US bank failure before December?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

No

US bank failure by October 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by October 31?

$204k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

Yes

US bank failure before September?

Economy·Business

US bank failure before September?

$121k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

No

Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

All

Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

All

Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No