US News Predictions & Odds· 472 markets

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes

Presidential Election Winner 2028
$475.3m Vol.
$28.6m Liq.
🔥$5.8m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$475.3m Vol.🔥$5.8m today$28.6m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
17%
JD Vance

Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$426k Liq.
140
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$426k Liq.140Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep

27%
≤47

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$85k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$85k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

58%
December 31, 2026

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$8k Liq.
147
Ends in about 5 hours
$733k Vol.$8k Liq.147Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$765k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$765k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
59%
Democratic

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes

98%
≥2.8%

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$821k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$821k Vol.$78k Liq.Ends in 10 days
44%
≥3.4%

California Governor Election Winner
$7.7m Vol.
$777k Liq.
🔥$414k today
20
Ends in 7 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$414k today$777k Liq.20Ends in 7 months
62%
Eric Swalwell

GTA VI released before June 2026?
$13.0m Vol.
$53k Liq.
27
Ends in 2 months
$13.0m Vol.$53k Liq.27Ends in 2 months
2%
Yes

Alaska Senate Election Winner
$290k Vol.
$71k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 months
$290k Vol.$71k Liq.8Ends in 7 months
57%
Mary Peltola

South Carolina Senate Election Winner
$16k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$16k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
78%
Republican

94%
Democrat

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
$14k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$14k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 7 months
94%
Democrat

Texas Senate Election Winner
$159k Vol.
$62k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months
$159k Vol.$62k Liq.7Ends in 7 months
56%
Republican