US News Predictions & Odds· 472 markets

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$475.3m Vol.
$28.6m Liq.
🔥$5.8m today
803
Ends in over 2 years

17%

JD Vance

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

$10k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years

20%

Yes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.2m Vol.
$426k Liq.
140
Ends in 7 months

50%

Democrats Sweep

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k Vol.
$85k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

31%

Below 190

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

$1.4m Vol.
$124k Liq.
44
Ended

58%

December 31, 2026

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

$733k Vol.
$8k Liq.
147
Ends in about 5 hours

1%

Yes

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.6m Vol.
$765k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years

59%

Democratic

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

$26k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$2.9m Vol.
$156k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

98%

≥2.8%

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$821k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

44%

≥3.4%

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

$7.7m Vol.
$777k Liq.
🔥$414k today
20
Ends in 7 months

62%

Eric Swalwell

GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

$13.0m Vol.
$53k Liq.
27
Ends in 2 months

2%

Yes

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Alaska Senate Election Winner

$290k Vol.
$71k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 months

57%

Mary Peltola

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$16k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

78%

Republican

Illinois Senate Election Winner

Illinois Senate Election Winner

$18k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democrat

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$14k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democrat

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

$159k Vol.
$62k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months

56%

Republican