Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 323 markets
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$889 Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$889 Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
39%
John Ratcliffe
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$108k Vol.
$2k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$2k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
72%
Yes
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$759k Vol.
$108k Liq.
🔥$326k today
6
Ends in 9 months
$759k Vol.🔥$326k today$108k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
77%
Kash Patel
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$23.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$279k today
826
Ends in 9 months
$23.3m Vol.🔥$279k today$1.0m Liq.826Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$108k Vol.
$38k Liq.
4
Ended
$108k Vol.$38k Liq.4Ended
76%
Democrats (D)
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$15k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$39k Vol.
$34k Liq.
6
Ended
$39k Vol.$34k Liq.6Ended
94%
Social Democrats
W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$259 Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$2k Vol.$259 Liq.Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
J
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$764 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$764 Liq.Ends in about 2 months
43%
0.0–0.2%
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
$315k Vol.
$22k Liq.
111
Ends in 9 months
$315k Vol.$22k Liq.111Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
W
Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?
$40k Vol.
$120k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$120k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
49%
Lee Zeldin
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$23k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$83k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$83k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 27 days
4%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$11k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes
R
23%
Yes
T
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.7m Vol.
$669k Liq.
🔥$119k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$5.7m Vol.🔥$119k today$669k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by April 30?
$474k Vol.
$193k Liq.
🔥$100k today
Ends in 27 days
$474k Vol.🔥$100k today$193k Liq.Ends in 27 days
1%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by June 30?
$2.0m Vol.
$703k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$2.0m Vol.$703k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes