Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 164 markets
C
55%
June 30, 2026
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$192k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$192k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
96%
35%+
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
74%
Yes
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$101k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$101k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
A
11%
Yes
A
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
94%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
57%
Anthropic
C
54%
June 30
C
66%
June 30
T
Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)
$2k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$66k Liq.Ends in 7 days
85%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$15k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$15k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 27 days
48%
9-11
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
$17 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$17 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
40%
9-11
B
Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)
$925 Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$925 Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 7 days
88%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
C
No release by February 28
W
Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?
$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
$137k Vol.$0 Liq.8Ended
No
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)
$854k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$854k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)
$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$184k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Anthropic
W
Which company has the second best AI model end of February?
$982k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$982k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Anthropic
W
Anthropic