Claude Predictions & Odds· 222 markets

Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30

49%
June 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
91%
35%+

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$892 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$892 Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 15 days
81%
April 15

Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$80k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$80k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
71%
June 30, 2026

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$171k Liq.
21
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.2m Vol.$171k Liq.21Ends in about 7 hours
99%
OpenAI

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$16k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$16k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
ChatGPT

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
95%
Claude by Anthropic

NHL · Sports
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
$142k Vol.
$632k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$142k Vol.$632k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
46%
Nikita Kucherov

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
77%
600B+

14%
Yes

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes

What price will Ethena hit in March?
$96k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$96k Vol.$175k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08

45%
Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$438k Liq.
256
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$438k Liq.256Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?
$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$23k Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
11+