Claude Predictions & Odds· 222 markets

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

70%

June 30

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

49%

June 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

42%

9-11

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$188k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

91%

35%+

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k Vol.
$892 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

56%

Yes

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

17%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

81%

April 15

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m Vol.
$80k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month

71%

June 30, 2026

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.2m Vol.
$171k Liq.
21
Ends in about 7 hours

99%

OpenAI

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$16k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

99%

ChatGPT

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

95%

Claude by Anthropic

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL · Sports

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

$142k Vol.
$632k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

46%

Nikita Kucherov

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years

68%

Anthropic

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years

77%

600B+

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$11k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

89%

Yes

What price will Ethena hit in March?

What price will Ethena hit in March?

$96k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

13%

↓ 0.08

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$438k Liq.
256
Ends in 3 months

44%

>$600M

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

11+