Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 132 markets
C
56%
June 30, 2026
C
61%
June 30
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$14k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$14k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 27 days
43%
9-11
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$191k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$191k Vol.$21k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
96%
35%+
C
67%
June 30
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
74%
Yes
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
$17 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$17 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
9-11
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$167k Vol.
$36k Liq.
67
Ends in 9 months
$167k Vol.$36k Liq.67Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
C
Sports · Soccer
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
$191k Vol.
$813 Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
$191k Vol.$813 Liq.5Ends in 4 months
25%
Yes
B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 12 days
85%
April 15
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 27 days
$46k Vol.$20k Liq.3Ends in 27 days
16%
Yes
C
Colombia Presidential Election
$12.3m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
363
Ends in 3 months
$12.3m Vol.$1.2m Liq.363Ends in 3 months
50%
Candidate M
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
$1.9m Vol.
$241k Liq.
6
Ends in about 2 months
$1.9m Vol.$241k Liq.6Ends in about 2 months
88%
Iván Cepeda Castro
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$410k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$410k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
N
NHL · Sports
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
$194k Vol.
$522k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$194k Vol.$522k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
43%
Nathan MacKinnon
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$15k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$10k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
98%
Claude by Anthropic
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$99k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$99k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
A
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$12k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
95%
Yes
A
10%
Yes