Congress Expulsions Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

S
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

47%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
S
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

72%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
C
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

65%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
R
Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

16%

Yes

$5 Vol.
$309 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

3%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 14 days
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

91%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4.4m Vol.
$417k Liq.
🔥$131k today
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

17%

Dong Jun

$125k Vol.
$83k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
W
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

43%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
S
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

16%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

70%

Historic / History / Historical

$507 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

36%

300-400k

$64k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

6%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
S
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

86%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

87%

Not revealed in 2026

$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

13%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

74%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
P
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

27%

Yes

$412 Vol.
$429 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
A
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

16%

Yes

$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months