Crimea Predictions & Odds· 136 markets
U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
W
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
$1.8m Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$85k today
Ends in 9 months
$1.8m Vol.🔥$85k today$179k Liq.Ends in 9 months
79%
No meeting before 2027
W
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$26k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$55k Vol.$26k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$445 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$445 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
38%
60-79
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 1 day
70%
80-99
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
79%
Yes
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$533k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
U
5%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
9%
April 30
W
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
$87k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$87k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 27 days
14%
Yes
W
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$375k Vol.
$57k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$375k Vol.$57k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
W
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$125k Vol.
$55k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$125k Vol.$55k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
66%
December 31
W
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$3k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 27 days
7%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$232k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$232k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes