Crypto Policy Predictions & Odds· 137 markets
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$103k Vol.
$6k Liq.
19
Ended
$103k Vol.$6k Liq.19Ended
5%
Yes
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$562 Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$562 Liq.15Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
What will Trump say at the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?
$92k Vol.
$0 Liq.
63
Ended
$92k Vol.$0 Liq.63Ended
Crypto / Coin 7+ times
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?
$545k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$545k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
$23.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,302
Ended
$23.3m Vol.$0 Liq.2,302Ended
No
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?
$84k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$84k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,186
Ended
$1.0m Vol.$0 Liq.1,186Ended
No
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?
$214k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended
$214k Vol.$0 Liq.24Ended
No
