Deadline Predictions & Odds· 230 markets

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$192k Liq.
265
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$192k Liq.265Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$81k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$81k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$25k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$25k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$43k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$43k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
41%
36–39

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
$31k Vol.
$71k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$71k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
3%
Yes

cs2 · Esports
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?
$271k Vol.
$7k Liq.
24
Ended
$271k Vol.$7k Liq.24Ended
40%
June 30

24%
Yes

California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$7k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 5 months
39%
24–27

16%
Isfahan nuclear facility

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Gold

<300k

Jaelan Phillips

Ryan McMahon

rams · NFL
Will Cooper Kupp get traded before the deadline?
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$7k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No

Sports · Fantasy Football
Will Davante Adams be traded before the deadline?
$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$37k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes

grizzlies · Sports
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?
$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$15k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No

Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
$89k Vol.$0 Liq.5Ended
Yes
