Defesne Predictions & Odds· 131 markets
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$51k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$284k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$138k Vol.
$18k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$138k Vol.$18k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
65%
Yes
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$352k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$352k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$556k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
15%
April 30
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
$134k Vol.
$20k Liq.
7
Ends in about 5 hours
$134k Vol.$20k Liq.7Ends in about 5 hours
75%
December 31
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
43%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$19k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$112 Vol.
$555 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$112 Vol.$555 Liq.Ends in 1 day
40%
Atputies
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$427 Vol.
$287 Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
$427 Vol.$287 Liq.Ends in about 24 hours
27%
Atputies
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Atputies (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$333 Vol.
$304 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$333 Vol.$304 Liq.Ends in 1 day
70%
BESTIA
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
$2.7m Vol.
$8.7m Liq.
🔥$2.6m today
1
Ends in about 2 hours
$2.7m Vol.🔥$2.6m today$8.7m Liq.1Ends in about 2 hours
100%
Natus Vincere