Diplomacy Ceasefire Predictions & Odds· 125 markets
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,261
$63.8m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,261
72%
December 31
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$56k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$10k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$46k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$20k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$20k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Leadership Change
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$67k Liq.
🔥$68k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$68k today$67k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
74%
June 30
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$367k Vol.
$210k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$367k Vol.$210k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$202k Vol.
$47k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
$202k Vol.$47k Liq.6Ends in about 1 month
10%
April 10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.9m Vol.
$378k Liq.
🔥$342k today
158
Ends in 3 months
$7.9m Vol.🔥$342k today$378k Liq.158Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.7m Vol.
$485k Liq.
🔥$301k today
326
Ends in about 6 hours
$8.7m Vol.🔥$301k today$485k Liq.326Ends in about 6 hours
78%
December 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
$2.2m Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$2.2m Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$126k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$126k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
13%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$155k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$155k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
$1.5m Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.5m Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$126k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in about 6 hours
$126k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$148k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$148k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$46k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$62k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$908k Vol.
$18k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$908k Vol.$18k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes